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A record nobody can tidy up

@sayloris right 33% of the time.

5 of 15 checks landed, across 5 calls going back to 5 April 2021. Each call is timestamped from its tweet’s own id and scored once against a price feed.

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The record

a day later
80%
4 of 5
a week later
20%
1 of 5
a month later
0%
0 of 5

A call is right when the price moved the way it was called, and wrong when it did not. Nothing is scored twice and nothing is revised: a checkpoint is written once, from the price at the hour it fell due, and stands. Fifty per cent is what a coin flip gets.

What is behind them

Calls
5
In the pots
24.25
Held for them
5.54
Best run
0 calls
Last call
1y ago

Every call

BTCBTC up · 1y ago0.00

MicroStrategy has acquired 10,107 BTC for ~$1.1 billion at ~$105,596 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 2.90% YTD 2025. As of 1/26/2025, we hodl 471,107 $BTC acquired for ~$30.4 billion at ~$64,511 per bitcoin. $MSTR https://t.co/UM5dGUS9Ma

a day laterright · +4.1%a week laterwrong · -3.7%a month laterwrong · -10.3%
MSTRBTC up · 2y ago24.25

MicroStrategy has acquired an additional 12,000 BTC for ~$821.7M using proceeds from convertible notes & excess cash for ~$68,477 per #bitcoin. As of 3/10/24, $MSTR hodls 205,000 $BTC acquired for ~$6.91B at average price of $33,706 per bitcoin. https://t.co/YayyKtpz8d

a day laterright · +0.8%a week laterwrong · -4.5%a month laterwrong · -3.4%
BITCOIN4BTC up · 4y ago0.00

When @MicroStrategy adopted a #Bitcoin Strategy, it anticipated volatility and structured its balance sheet so that it could continue to #HODL through adversity. https://t.co/rPSUVPHUVw

a day laterwrong · -4.3%a week laterwrong · -4.7%a month laterwrong · -10.7%
MSTR3BTC up · 4y ago0.00

MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 7,002 bitcoins for ~$414.4 million in cash at an average price of ~$59,187 per #bitcoin. As of 11/29/21 we #hodl ~121,044 bitcoins acquired for ~$3.57 billion at an average price of ~$29,534 per bitcoin. $MSTRhttps://t.co/OA8VWG1bZX

a day laterright · +1.6%a week laterwrong · -14.8%a month laterwrong · -17.7%
MSTR2BTC up · 5y ago0.00

MicroStrategy has purchased an additional ~253 bitcoins for $15.0 million in cash at an average price of ~$59,339 per #bitcoin. As of 4/5/2021, we #hodl ~91,579 bitcoins acquired for ~$2.226 billion at an average price of ~$24,311 per bitcoin. $MSTRhttps://t.co/OMQMhA85xw

a day laterright · +1.4%a week laterright · +4.3%a month laterwrong · -4.6%

Newest first. A call with no asset and no direction on it was never put on the record by whoever minted it, so there is nothing to check — the words are not guessed at.

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